Service Plays Thursday 11/18/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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Thank you, wilheim




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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

Phoenix Suns at Orlando Magic (-9, 203)

The Orlando Magic are expected to welcome J.J. Redick back to the lineup on Thursday after an MRI revealed no structural damage in his aching back. Magic supporters are hoping that after he sat out Monday’s game and didn’t practice Tuesday that some time away from the court helped him find his jumper.

The Magic’s normally lethal outside shooter is hitting just 27 percent of his shots from the floor and only 12 percent of his trey efforts while averaging 4.4 points per game.

“I don’t think there’s any question, he’s at a very high frustration level with his shooting,” Magic coach Stan Van Gundy said. “You can physically see it when he misses open shots and things like that, but the thing's the same, just go out and play hard, and play with great energy and enthusiasm, and try to relax a little bit on the offensive end of the floor.”

It’s not just Redick. Rashard Lewis, Chris Duhon and Ryan Anderson have struggled early this year too, though Orlando has won two straight with both checking in under the posted total. However, the club is only 3-7 against the spread on the year and Phoenix putting up a bunch of points lately.

Pick: Phoenix


Denver Nuggets at Portland Trail Blazers (-3, 203)

Brandon Roy underwent an MRI on his injured left knee today, leaving the Portland Trail Blazers holding their collective breath as they wait for the results.

Roy limped off the court during Portland’s 107-87 loss to the New Orleans Hornets over the weekend and didn’t play in Monday’s win over Memphis. However, for one night at least, the Blazers had a suitable replacement for their superstar.

Wesley Matthews scored a career-high 30 points to lead Portland to a 100-99 as a 1-point favorite.

"I thought tonight he let the offense come to him," Blazers head coach Nate McMillan told reporters of Matthews. "I just thought he brought energy to the floor tonight. The reason for him going in that line-up was to see if he can bring that toughness on the defensive end of the floor.”

Nice game for Matthews, but can he keep it going? Probably, for one game at least against an awful Denver defense that’s giving up more than 104 points a night.

Pick: Trail Blazers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets

Nashville Predators at Montreal Canadiens (-170, 5)

Montreal defenseman P.K. Subban is one of the Canadiens’ key blue liners now that Andrei Markov is out of the lineup indefinitely, but the youngster is already developing a bit of a reputation around the league.

Subban picked up an assist and six penalty minutes during Montreal’s 3-0 win over the Philadelphia Flyers on Wednesday, the Canadiens’ fourth straight victory.

"He's (Subban) a guy that's come in the league and hasn't earned respect," Flyers captain Mike Richards told reporters. "It's just frustrating to see a young guy like that come in here and so much as think that he's better than a lot of people. Hopefully someone on their team addresses it, because, I'm not saying I'm going to do it but something might happen to him if he continues to be that cocky."

Maybe that’s true, but the Habs are counting on Subban to play with that kind of edge, because he’s a lot less effective if he backs off. As it stands, Subban has a goal and seven assists to go along with a plus-6 rating and if he can keep that up, Montreal won’t worry much about how “cocky” he is on the ice.

Pick: Canadiens


New Jersey Devils at Toronto Maple Leafs (-130, 5.5)

The Toronto Maple Leafs finally snapped an eight-game losing skid when they erupted for four power-play goals in the second period against the Nashville Predators to book a 5-4 victory.

It was the offensive outburst that the team desperately needed, especially after the club fell behind 3-0 midway through the first period. Kris Versteeg buried two of those goals and Clarke MacArthur added three assists in the second period to jumpstart a power play that had managed just three goals over the club’s losing streak.

“That was a long three weeks,” MacArthur told reporters following the game. “We’re really excited. We want to put a streak together now.”

They’ll have a good opportunity to do just that against the Devils. Toronto goaltender J.S. Giguere left the game late with a suspected groin injury and Jonas Gustavsson came on in relief. Giguere didn’t participate in Wednesday’s practice and Gustavsson is expected to start against New Jersey, giving Leafs supporters the change they’ve been looking for. He’ll be ready to go.

Pick: Leafs

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatBetting Football

Thursday College Football:
Air Force -19.5

Thursday NFL:
Chicago Bears +1

 

[AC2008]

Football Jesus Text for thur : NFL Mia Dolphins

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday's Best NCAAF Bets

UCLA Bruins At Washington Huskies (-2, 53)

The Pac-10 only has three teams that are bowl eligible right now, and there aren’t many more that might be filling slots. The loser of Thursday night’s crucial battle between the UCLA Bruins and the Washington Huskies is going to most likely be guaranteed to be sitting on the couch this winter.

UCLA at least has a tad bit of leeway here, as it can afford one more loss, but with the prospects of playing both the USC Trojans and the Arizona State Sun Devils is daunting at best. The men in blue and gold know that they have a terrible passing game and just cannot get behind in games. QB Richard Brehaut has only thrown for two TD passes this entire season against four picks. The Bruins as a whole have just barely thrown 200 passes in nine games. RB Johnathan Franklin already has 169 carries by himself! The bull of a back has averaged 5.3 yards per carry and leads the team with six TDs. Franklin needs 108 yards on the ground to reach 1,000 for the campaign. The other problem that UCLA is going to have is that its defense had not played well, particularly in Pac-10 play this year. The team allowed an average of 37.4 points per game in conference before beating the Oregon State Beavers 17-14 two Saturdays ago. The ground defense is of particular concern. HC Rick Neuheisel’s club ranks No. 95 in the land against the rush at a stunning 192.3 yards per game.

The Huskies don’t have any rope left, as they have to win out to be able to nail down a bid in a bowl game. This is the final home game for senior QB Jake Locker, who has never seen a bowl game in his collegiate career. With roadies at the Cal Golden Bears and Washington State Cougars, the possibility is at least remotely there with a win in Seattle on Thursday. Locker is coming back to the lineup after missing last week’s game, and it’s a good thing. His backup QB Keith Price just didn’t cut it, and the numbers for U-Dub really showed. Locker has thrown for 1,678 yards and 14 scores this year, and he has done a lot of hooking up with his favorite target, junior WR Jermaine Kearse. Kearse has 41 catches for 682 yards and ten TDs this year, though he is coming off of a game with Price at QB in which he caught just two passes for six yards. Remember that rush defense that was so porous that we discussed of UCLA’s? RB Chris Polk can’t wait to have his licks. He has 730 yards and four scores this year and has a big, big game on his mind on the national spotlight.

Though UCLA does seem to be playing a bit better ball this year, we think that splitting these two teams is hard to do. With a healthy Locker, we have to give the nod to the Huskies though, especially in their last home game of the season. Locker will want to go out with a bang and give U-Dub fans at least some mild hope of going bowling for the first time in years.

Pick: Washington Huskies -2


Air Force Falcons at UNLV Rebels (+19, 56.5)

There isn’t a heck of a lot on the line but bragging rights in the Mountain West on Friday night, but we’re here with our Air Force Falcons vs. UNLV Rebels free picks anywhere here at Bang the Book!

This is the regular season finale for the Falcons, who know that they are going bowling once again this year. You know what you’re getting as well. QB Tim Jefferson will put the ball in the air sparingly, and the triple option is going to be coming at you from all angles. It was a killer to Air Force to lose RB Jared Tew for the season a few weeks ago to a broken leg. Now, RB Asher Clark is really getting the call a lot more often now. He has rumbled for 919 yards and five scores on the year and is likely to become a 1,000 yard rusher on Thursday night. Jefferson has done a nice job putting the ball in the end zone, as he has done so a total of 21 times against just six picks. The Falcons rank No. 2 in the country in rushing at 315.6 yards per game and are parlaying that into the No. 23 total offense in the game as well at 435.9 yards per game. Air Force has been a bit bi-polar at times in terms of scoring though, as it has scored at least 42 points four times, but has been held to 25 or less six times. Teams are only averaging 150.5 yards per game through the air against the Falcons this year, good enough for No. 5 in the country.

UNLV only has two wins this year, but both of them are in MWC play. The bad news is that this Air Force team doesn’t look anything like the New Mexico Lobos or the Wyoming Cowboys. A rush defense that ranks No. 113 in the country is going to be tested to the fullest on Thursday night and will probably get trampled. The question is going to be whether an offense that has averaged just 18.4 points per game and has only scored more than ten points four times in ten games this year is really capable of scoring with the Falcons. The man that is going to have to shine to have any chance of ground the Falcons is RB Tim Cornett. The frosh might only have 380 yards this year, but three of his seven TDs were scored in last week’s win over the Cowboys. In the passing game, the only two men of real note are WR Phillip Payne and WR Michael Johnson, who only have 64 receptions and 867 yards between them. No other receiver is even averaging 16 yards or two catches per game.

The Rebs might be good enough to run with the Cowboys, but they certainly can’t fly with the Falcons. Air Force will want to end its regular season on a high note, which will most likely attract the Independence Bowl this year. UNLV should, quite literally, get run over.

Pick: Air Force Falcons -19


Georgia State Panthers at Alabama Crimson Tide (-55.5, N/A)

The Alabama Crimson Tide are probably far more worried about what’s going to happen a week from Saturday than they are about this coming Thursday night’s NCAA football betting affair, as this should be nothing more than a romp over the Georgia State Panthers, playing their first ever game against an FBS opponent.

A first year school, Georgia State did a great job of hiring Bill Curry, a former coach of the Crimson Tide. Curry has immediately brought some recognition to the program and is putting the Panthers on the path towards success in a hurry. No, it isn’t very likely for any team to come into Bryant Denny Stadium and pick up a victory, let alone for an FCS independent team just trying to get its footing. However, Curry knows that even five minutes of hanging around with Alabama would be impressive, and the man tabbed with the job of keeping his team in the game is freshman QB Drew Little. Little has been the man responsible for putting together a winning season for the Panthers, who are 6-4 at the FCS level. He has thrown for 2,033 yards and 18 scores in ten games.

We know that the Tide are going to be looking forward to getting a lot of newcomers some experience in a nationally televised game with little on the line. Obviously, a loss would go down as one of the most shocking results in the history of sports, but in all likelihood, we’ll see men like RB Mark Ingram, QB Greg McElroy, WR Julio Jones, and a host of others doing nothing but wearing baseball caps by the start of the fourth quarter. What Alabama really has to play for here is a spot in the BCS. Even beating Georgia State 100-0 wouldn’t really do anything to impress the pollsters, but anything less than a very thorough beating could sway the human polls and help take the Tide outside of the Top 14 to stay eligible to qualify for a spot in a big game. RB Trent Richardson was sidelined last week, and though many think that he could be ready to go on Thursday night, don’t expect to see HC Nick Saban use him for anything more than a few plays just to get his feet wet before next week’s Iron Bowl against the No. 2 team in the country, the Auburn Tigers.

We know that Alabama is clearly the superior team here, and though we have to lay eight TDs to get there, we have the feeling that Georgia State is going to come out shell shocked and just have no idea what to do with itself. Don’t be surprised if the Tide are up 49-0 at halftime and just coast to a comfortable final score that looks something like 73-7. The Tide have made examples of teams like the Duke Blue Devils and San Jose State Spartans that have attempted to play with them. This should be no exception on Thursday night.

Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide -55.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday's Best NFL Bet

Chicago Bears at Miami Dolphins (-1.5, 40)

One team doesn’t really have a viable option as a starting quarterback. The other one is just trying to find a way to cling to its division lead for all that its worth. That’s what the Miami Dolphins and Chicago Bears will be up against respectively in this NFL betting affair on Thursday Night Football.

The Bears don’t really feel like a 6-3 team, and the oddsmakers know it. Save the win over the Green Bay Packers in Week 3, Chicago doesn’t have a win against a team this year with more than three wins on the season, and most of those teams have become tremendous train wrecks. In fairness though, the Bears have also lost twice by exactly three points and have only been beaten by more than that once. An offense that ranks No. 29 in the game in total ‘O’ at 297.3 yards per game clearly has its holes, as QB Jay Cutler is prone to throwing INTs, while RB Matt Forte and RB Chester Taylor have just had no room to operate behind an offensive line that has had an atrocious season. Defensively, we love what Chicago is doing, though. The front seven is really getting after it, particularly against opposing rushing attacks. Teams are only averaging 82.3 yards per game on the ground against the Monsters of the Midway, something that could really hamper Miami’s “Wildcat” offense. You don’t think of the Bears as a team with the same type of dominant defense that brought them to the Super Bowl not that long ago, but they haven’t allowed more than 23 points in a game this season and rank No. 2 in scoring at 16.2 points per game.

First it was QB Chad Henne’s job. Then it became QB Chad Pennington’s for a few plays. Then it went back to Henne. And now, thanks to a bunch of injuries to both of them, it appears as though QB Tyler Thigpen is the main man in South Beach that is going to be leading the way on Thursday night. Thigpen does have some success as a starting quarterback, as he put up respectable numbers with the Kansas City Chiefs two years ago before being unceremoniously dumped without being given a chance elsewhere. He threw for 64 yards and a TD in the fourth quarter to seal the deal for a ‘W’ over the Tennessee Titans last week. The problem that Thigpen is going to have is that he might not have the full use of his running game with the Bears being so stout up front. RB Ronnie Brown is coming off of a game in which he ran for 11 yards on 12 carries, and the team surprisingly only ranks No. 19 on the ground at just over 100 yards per game. Neither Brown nor his counterpart RB Ricky Williams are going to sniff 1,000 yards on the ground, something that both should at least be threatening in this type of an offense.

We know that the Dolphins are trendy in this game, and we know that the Bears really aren’t anywhere near as good as their record indicates. However, the visitors know that they can really take a playoff spot by the reins going into Thanksgiving week, and that prize is just going to be too much to pass up, even on a short week and on the road.

Pick: Chicago Bears +1.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bettors' Best Friend (BBF): Thursday's Wagering Tips

Lines To Watch

The Miami Dolphins opened as 2-point favorites at home to the Chicago Bears with the total at 39.5. Miami has dropped to -1 or -1.5 at most books with the over/under now at 40.5.

UNLV was set as a 20.5-point underdog at the open against Air Force, but is now pegged at +19.

Weather To Watch

UCLA at Washington – Temperatures in the 40s with a 50 percent chance of rain.

Who’s Hot

Miami Dolphins have covered in four of their last five games.

Under bettors have cashed in on six of the last seven Chicago Bears games.

Montreal Canadiens have won four straight games.

Who’s Not

The Washington Huskies are riding an 0-4-1 slump against the spread.

Indiana Pacers have lost four of their last six straight up and against the spread.

Orlando Magic have dropped six of seven against the number.

Boston Bruins are 3-7 in their last 10 home games.

Key Stat

33 – number of sacks the Chicago Bears have allowed this season which is more than any other team in the league. However, Jay Cutler has taken just two sacks in the team’s last two games.

Game Of The Day

Chicago Bears at Miami Dolphins (-1.5, 40.5)

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Joe Berger (knee), Miami Dolphins – Berger, Miami’s starting center, is officially out for Thursday’s game against the Bears, pushing backup Cory Procter into duty. Procter worked with projected starting quarterback Tyler Thigpen over the last few days and the two are also familiar with each other from their time working with the subs.

Notable Quotable

''It's definitely a challenge, but no excuses made, no excuses accepted. We're professionals. We knew that we had a Thursday night game coming into the season and that we were going to have a short week. For myself, it's just about getting your rest at night, getting up in the morning and getting ready to work.'' - Dolpins quarterback Tyler Thigpen on playing Thursday against the Bears. Notes and tips

Washington Huskies quarterback Jake Locker was cleared to play Thursday against UNLV after Tuesday's practice. Locker missed his club's Nov. 6 game against Oregon with a broken rib and didn't practice for two weeks after that. He participated fully in this week's workouts and has 1678 passing yards and 253 rushing yards this season.

Orlando Magic point guard Jameer Nelson’s ankle is still bothering him. He didn’t practice Tuesday because is swelled up, but the team is hoping he’ll be able to play against the Suns as long as he takes it easy during Wednesday’s practice. Nelson's averaging 14.5 points and 5.6 assists per game.

The New Jersey Devils dropped Travis Zajac from the top line and replaced him with Dainius Zubrus, who should center Ilya Kovalchuk and Alexander Vasyunov when the Devils visit Toronto on Thursday. Zajac will play with David Clarkson and Brian Rolston. New Jersey has been shut out three times over the last six games, so the line juggling is hardly a surprise.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BEN BURNS

10* NFL* THURSDAY BEST BET* Miami Dolphins UNDER 40 OR BETTER

10* NCAAF* THURSDAY ROAST* Washington Huskies -3 OR BETTER

7* NHL* BLUE CHIP O/U BLOWOUT* NJ Devils/Toronto Maple Leafs UNDER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAA Football Game Picks

UCLA at Washington

The Bruins look to build on their 9-2 ATS record in their last 11 games as an underdog from 1 to 3 points. UCLA is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bruins favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+2 1/2). Here are all of this week's lined games.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 18
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST
Game 309-310: UCLA at Washington (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 87.871; Washington 86.529
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 1 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Washington by 2 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+2 1/2); Under

Game 311-312: Air Force at UNLV (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 93.872; UNLV 73.189
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 20 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Air Force by 19; 56
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (-19); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NCAA CBB

Season
Straight Up: 260-55 (.825)
ATS: 65-83 (.439)
ATS Vary Units: 315-359 (.467)
Over/Under: 57-46 (.553)
Over/Under Vary Units: 119-109 (.522)

2K Sports Classic
Championship Semifinals at Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
Maryland 77, Pittsburgh 76
Texas 75, Illinois 74
Cancun Challenge
at campus sites
LA SALLE 77, Prairie View A&M 59
MISSOURI 76, Western Illinois 51
PROVIDENCE 88, Morgan State 80
WYOMING 68, North Florida 60
Charleston Classic
1st Round at Carolina First Arena, Charleston, SC
George Mason vs. Charlotte: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Georgetown 78, Coastal Carolina 60
NC State 75, East Carolina 59
Wofford 69, USC Upstate 49
Global Sports Challenge
Round Robin at campus sites
LSU 74, Tennessee-Martin 56
Global Sports Invitational
FLORIDA 88, North Carolina A&T 60
Morehead State 74, UNC WILMINGTON 65
Global Sports Main Event
Savannah State 61, FLORIDA A&M 60
Legends Classic
Ann Arbor Regional at Ann Arbor, MI
MICHIGAN 67, Bowling Green State 48
O'Reilly Auto Parts CBE Classic
Manhattan Regional at Manhattan, KS
KANSAS STATE 92, Presbyterian 50
Puerto Rico Tip-Off
1st Round at Coliseo de Puerto Rico, San Juan, PR
Minnesota 74, Western Kentucky 64
North Carolina 77, Hofstra 70
Vanderbilt 74, Nebraska 67
West Virginia 85, Davidson 55
Razorback Showcase
at campus sites
ARKANSAS 88, Grambling State 59
Non-Conference
ARIZONA 82, New Hampshire 81
Army 61, NEW JERSEY TECH 59
BAYLOR 84, Jackson State 52
BOSTON COLLEGE 76, Yale 55
Colorado State 62, DENVER 58
Florida State 78, FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON 59
LIPSCOMB 82, Austin Peay 77
LOYOLA (CHICAGO) 68, Eastern Illinois 61
OKLAHOMA 76, Texas Southern 59
Richmond 69, IONA 57
SANTA CLARA 68, Rice 63
South Florida vs. UCF: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
STANFORD 65, Virginia 62
Stony Brook 67, FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON 62
VMI 93, Jacksonville State 87

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI CFB

Thursday, November 18, 2010
Mountain West Conference
Air Force 40, UNLV 22
Pacific-10 Conference
Ucla 28, WASHINGTON 25
Southland Conference
NICHOLLS STATE 30, Southeastern Louisiana 27

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 96-58 (.623)
ATS: 90-70 (.563)
ATS Vary Units: 262-246 (.516)
Over/Under: 81-84 (.491)
Over/Under Vary Units: 114-110 (.509)

INDIANA 109, L.A. Clippers 96
ORLANDO 106, Phoenix 100
PORTLAND 103, Denver 100

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NFL

Season
Straight Up: 75-63 (.543)
ATS: 54-85 (.388)
ATS Vary Units: 225-429 (.344)
Over/Under: 67-75 (.472)
Over/Under Vary Units: 207-232 (.472)

Thursday, November 18, 2010
MIAMI 23, Chicago 16

Sunday, November 21, 2010
PITTSBURGH 24, Oakland 20
DALLAS 29, Detroit 21
JACKSONVILLE 23, Cleveland 22
TENNESSEE 30, Washington 20
N.Y. JETS 31, Houston 15
Baltimore 24, CAROLINA 10
Green Bay 27, MINNESOTA 18
KANSAS CITY 33, Arizona 22
CINCINNATI 23, Buffalo 17
NEW ORLEANS 28, Seattle 13
SAN FRANCISCO 20, Tampa Bay 19
Atlanta 24, ST. LOUIS 15
NEW ENGLAND 29, Indianapolis 24
Philadelphia 30, N.Y. GIANTS 29

Monday, November 22, 2010
SAN DIEGO 33, Denver 23

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NHL

Season: 86-55 (.610)

BOSTON 3, Florida 2
TORONTO 3, New Jersey 2
PHILADELPHIA 4, Tampa Bay 2
MONTREAL 3, Nashville 2
San Jose vs. DALLAS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NICK PARSONS

THURSDAY NIGHT THUNDER
10* Chicago Bears

 

[mowerfixer1]

Bobby Maxwell
Thursday's winner...
400-Unit NFL Midweek Must Play - MIAMI DOLPHINS

Even though Miami is down to its third-team QB in Tyler Thigpen, I’m banking on the Dolphins’ defense to be the real game-winning unit that takes the field today. Go ahead and lay the points with Miami at home tonight.

As long as Thigpen can avoid the catastrophic mistake that gives the Bears’ points, Miami will be Ok in this one. He was 4-for-6 for 64 yards and a TD pass to TE Anthony Fasano on Sunday in the fourth quarter against the Titans. That TD finished off an 85-yard drive. Miami beat the Titans 29-17, the highest output by their offense all year. The Dolphins also covered as a small one-point home chalk.

Chicago was at home on Sunday beating the rival Vikings 27-13 and cashing as a one-point favorite. The mystery for the Bears is always the play of QB Jay Cutler who has thrown for 1,908 yards but has 12 TDs and a whopping nine INTs. The key for Miami will be the pressure they can put on him. Chicago has allowed an NFL leading 23 sacks and you know the Dolphins’ defensive lineman can see that and wants to get after Cutler and the Bears.

Miami has cashed tickets four of the last five weeks, including each of the last two at home. Chicago comes in on ATS slides of 10-21-2 after a straight-up win, 1-4-1 in November games, 2-9 as road ‘dogs and 2-7 against winning teams. Meanwhile, the Dolphins are riding positive ATS streaks of 10-4 in Week 11 games, 7-3 against teams with a winning record and 4-1 overall.

I will go ahead and lay the points with Miami tonight as the Dolphins won’t skip a beat with Thigpen under center.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Football Crusher
Play of the Day:

Chicago Bears +1.5 over Miami

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Basketball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Portland -2.5 over Denver

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hockey Crusher
Play of the Day:

Montreal / Nashville UNDER 5